Bitcoin Yearly Recap for 2025

This article is not financial advice. Investments in cryptocurrencies are associated with high risks, and we do not recommend making decisions based on this material. Always do your own analysis before any investments.

Overview of 2025: Bitcoin's Path Through Ups and Downs

2025 turned out to be a dynamic year for Bitcoin, with significant price fluctuations caused by a combination of macroeconomic factors, regulatory changes, and institutional interest. The beginning of the year was optimistic due to the influence of Bitcoin ETFs and political events, such as Donald Trump's inauguration, which boosted interest in cryptocurrencies. However, later in the year, corrections occurred due to geopolitical tensions, changes in monetary policy, and reduced market liquidity.

According to historical data, Bitcoin started 2025 at around $93,500-$94,400 per coin on January 1. During the first months, the price rose thanks to the approval and inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs in the US, pushing BTC to new heights. In July, Bitcoin reached over $123,000, but the real peak came in early October, when the price hit a historical maximum of about $126,000. This growth was linked to the weakening of the US dollar, institutional investments, and positive market sentiments.

However, in November, a correction period began: the price dropped to the year's low of $80,600, erasing a significant portion of the annual gains due to macroeconomic factors such as inflation and geopolitical risks. As of December 15, 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $90,000, indicating an overall decline of 4-5% compared to the beginning of the year.

Overall percentage change for the year: approximately -4%, with peak growth up to +35% in October compared to the beginning of the year.

Factors That Influenced Bitcoin's Price in 2025

These factors not only contributed to the asset's volatility but also highlighted its growing integration into the broader financial ecosystem. From institutional adoption to geopolitical events, the year showcased how external forces can amplify or dampen Bitcoin's value.

• The approval of Bitcoin ETFs at the beginning of the year led to significant fund inflows, pushing the price upward. Companies like BlackRock and Fidelity reported record investments, making BTC more accessible to traditional investors.
• Trump's inauguration in January 2025 boosted optimism, as his cryptocurrency policy was perceived as favorable. US economic indicators, such as speeches by Fed Chair Powell, employment data, and PCE inflation, also affected volatility.
• Although the halving occurred in 2024, 2025 continued the cycle, where policy and liquidity became dominant factors instead of the halving itself. Analysts note a shift from a halving-centric cycle to a political one.
• The drop in November was linked to global crises, reduced liquidity, and corrections in stock markets. Bitcoin's volatility remained high, with periods of stability in the first half of the year.
• The 2025 cryptocurrency adoption report showed growth in BTC ownership, outperforming the S&P 500 in some periods.

Overall, these influences underscore Bitcoin's maturation as an asset class, increasingly intertwined with traditional markets and global events.

Prediction for 2026:From Cautious Optimism to Ambitious Goals

In our humble opinion, the price of BTC could reach 150,000 US dollars by the end of 2026. This is justified by historical trends of growth after correction periods, the continuation of the 2024 halving effects, which reduced the supply of new coins and typically leads to long-term price increases, as well as the expected strengthening of institutional interest through the expansion of ETFs and integration with traditional finance. Additionally, if the global economy stabilizes and the US dollar continues to weaken, this will create a favorable environment for assets like Bitcoin as "digital gold."

Cryptocurrency may become more regulated in most countries, which could potentially increase investor trust and reduce fraud risks, although it may temporarily curb volatility. Possibly, some countries will adopt Bitcoin as a national digital asset, similar to what El Salvador and others have done, stimulating global adoption and the use of BTC in everyday transactions.

Regarding possible innovations related to Bitcoin, we expect further development of the Lightning Network for faster and cheaper micropayments, integration with DeFi protocols to create new financial products based on BTC, as well as progress in Ordinals and BRC-20 tokens, which will allow the creation of NFTs and tokens directly on the Bitcoin blockchain, expanding its functionality beyond simple value storage.