VanEck Predicts Rapid Growth of Bitcoin: Price Could Reach $2.9 Million by 2050

These predictions are based on the potential use of the cryptocurrency in international trade and as part of central bank reserves. According to experts, BTC could become an important tool for settling 5-10% of global trade and make up 2.5% of central bank reserves, providing an annual growth of 15% (CAGR).

According to the provided information, the base scenario assumes exactly $2.9 million, while the "bullish" variant could raise the price up to $52 million. VanEck analysts emphasize that Bitcoin is already used in trade by sanctioned countries such as Venezuela, Iran, and Russia, but they expect broader adoption among G7 countries. This makes BTC a "long-term hedge against adverse outcomes of the monetary regime,"as stated in the report.

Details of VanEck Scenarios

• Base Scenario: $2.9 million, if BTC integrates into global trade and reserves, representing 1.66% of world financial assets.
• Bullish Scenario: Up to $52.4 million (or $53 million according to some estimates), assuming accelerated adoption and 20% CAGR.
• Bearish Scenario: $130,000, with slow growth at 2% CAGR.

These forecasts are an update to VanEck's previous estimates from December 2024, where they predicted a higher 25% CAGR. Experts highlight BTC's role as protection against fiat currency devaluation and structural sovereign debt issues.

Market and Community Reaction

The news quickly spread in the crypto community. On the X platform, users are actively discussing the forecast. For example, investor Crypto Patel noted:

"From a speculative asset to a potential backbone of the financial system. The long game is real."

Another post from Crypto Aman emphasizes:

"Bitcoin is evolving into a world reserve currency. VanEck's $2.9 million forecast is a real wake-up call!"

Some sources, such as Bitcoin Magazine, confirm that the report was released yesterday and highlight BTC's potential as a global settlement currency. At the same time, there are skeptical voices: VanEck themselves doubt overly optimistic forecasts, citing regulatory risks and macroeconomic trends.

Comparison with Other Predictions

Our own research shows that similar forecasts are not unique. Fidelity, for example, models a BTC price of $1 billion by 2038-2040 based on Metcalfe's law. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has spoken about $500,000-700,000 assuming institutional adoption. VanEck focuses on BTC's role in trade, comparing it to the current share of the British pound (7.4% according to SWIFT data for September 2025).

Against the backdrop of the current market, where BTC is holding near $94,000, such a long-term view underscores the transformation of cryptocurrency from a niche asset into a global financial instrument. Investors are advised to focus on signals rather than noise and continue accumulating BTC.